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British Journal of Anaesthesia

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match British Journal of Anaesthesia's content profile, based on 17 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Postoperative analgesia and recovery after minimally invasive cardiac surgery

Note, H.; Kajiura, T.; Muramatsu, A.; Inagaki, Y.; Takahashi, T.; Sato, K.; Nakamura, K.; Sadatoshi, T.; Sakurai, Y.; Tochii, M.; Watanuki, H.; Matsuyama, K.; Okamoto, S.

2026-08-31 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361580 medRxiv
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Introduction Postoperative analgesic management after minimally invasive cardiac surgery (MICS) should facilitate early recovery while providing adequate pain control. However, direct evidence comparing postoperative remifentanil- and fentanyl-based analgesic strategies after MICS remains limited. We compared these strategies and explored their associations with postoperative recovery, postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV), and pain management. Methods This retrospective single-center observational cohort study included patients who underwent MICS via a right mini-thoracotomy between January 2023 and June 2026. Patients were categorized according to postoperative remifentanil- or fentanyl-based analgesia in the intensive care unit. Outcomes included time to extubation, PONV, postoperative pain assessed using the numerical rating scale (NRS), additional analgesic use, and intensive care unit length of stay. Multivariable logistic regression examined the association between postoperative opioid strategy and PONV, adjusting for age, sex, and smoking history. Results PONV occurred less frequently in the remifentanil group than in the fentanyl group (20.6% vs 45.0%, P = 0.004), and this association remained significant after adjustment (adjusted odds ratio, 0.23; 95% confidence interval, 0.10-0.56; P = 0.001). Time to extubation was shorter with remifentanil (median, 179 [interquartile range, 134-240.5] vs 247 [190.2-276.5] min; P < 0.001). In contrast, NRS pain scores on postoperative day 0 were higher with remifentanil (3 [1-6] vs 1 [0-2]; P < 0.001), and additional analgesics were used more frequently (80.6% vs 33.3%; P < 0.001). Pain scores on postoperative day 1 did not differ significantly between groups. Conclusion Postoperative remifentanil-based analgesia after MICS was associated with less PONV and earlier extubation but also with greater early postoperative pain and more frequent additional analgesic use than fentanyl-based analgesia. Appropriate transition to longer-acting analgesics with multimodal analgesia may help preserve the potential benefits of remifentanil while maintaining adequate postoperative pain control.

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An interpretable, formally verified point-of-care ultrasound risk equation for difficult videolaryngoscopy: development and internal validation

Oyarzun-Silva, R. A.; Hernandez-Hernandez, P.; Fernandez-Vaquero, M. A.; De Luis-Cabezon, N.

2026-09-02 anesthesia 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361621 medRxiv
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Background. Videolaryngoscopy still requires adjuncts or hyperangulated rescue in a clinically important minority, and bedside screening discriminates modestly. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) of the anterior airway is a promising alternative, but existing prediction models are opaque or assume a pre-specified functional form. We developed and internally validated a parsimonious, fully disclosed POCUS risk equation whose form is recovered from data and whose structural properties are machine-checked by formal proof - to our knowledge the first formally verified clinical risk predictor - following TRIPOD+AI 2024. Methods. In a prospective single-centre, single-operator cohort of 259 adults undergoing elective videolaryngoscopy (no-Easy airway 68/259, 26.3%), Sequentially Thresholded Least Squares with bootstrap stability selection (B=300) screened a 71-term library of nine POCUS features and retained a seven-term logistic equation; a two-term bootstrap-stable model was pre-specified as robustness analysis. Internal validation used 5x10 repeated cross-validation plus temporal and device hold-outs, with pre-specified overfitting and optimism assessments. Five behavioural properties of the deployed equation were machine-checked in Lean 4. Results. Two interactions met the |c|/sigma_c>2 stability criterion: skin-to-epiglottis x skin-to-hyoid-bone distance and tongue volume x sagittal tongue area. The seven-term equation reached a 5x10 cross-validated C-statistic of 0.966 (optimism-corrected 0.968) and held across temporal and device hold-outs (0.94-0.97). Calibration-in-the-large matched prevalence, with cross-validated slope 0.90 attenuating to 0.625 out-of-time; standard recalibration restored 0.92 without loss of discrimination. The pre-specified two-term robustness model reproduced this performance (C-statistic 0.964-0.968; events-per-parameter 34; shrinkage 0.99), confirming the result is not an artefact of the screening stage. Net benefit over a clinical baseline was positive across 10-50% thresholds. All five Lean 4 theorems compiled without sorry. Conclusions. A sparse, formally verified POCUS equation predicts difficult videolaryngoscopy with high internally validated discrimination and quantified, modest overfitting. Because the equation was developed in a single-operator cohort and its inputs are operator-dependent, external validation requires prior harmonisation of the measurement protocol and operator credentialing.

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The effect of high-dose glucocorticoids on opioid consumption in the first 24 hours after elective hip and knee arthroplasty: A natural experiment study of 47,317 surgeries in Eastern Denmark

Laigaard, J.; Moeller, M. O.; Olsen, M. H.; Overgaard, S.; Mathiesen, O.; Karlsen, A. P. H.

2026-09-02 pain medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361793 medRxiv
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Background: In Denmark, perioperative high-dose glucocorticoid treatment were step-wisely implemented for total hip arthroplasty (THA), total knee arthroplasty (TKA), and unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA). We aimed to estimate the effect of a single high dose of glucocorticoids on opioid consumption following primary THA, TKA, and UKA. Methods: This was a prespecified analysis of a multicenter natural experiment using electronic health record data. We included elective THA, TKA, or UKA surgeries performed in Eastern Denmark from 2017-2025. At each center, surgeries before implementation of high-dose glucocorticoids served as controls, whereas surgeries after implementation comprised the intervention group. The primary outcome was the between-group difference in cumulative 0-24h opioid consumption, which included preemptive end-of-surgery doses. The predefined minimal important difference was set at 5 mg IV morphine equivalents. Secondary outcomes were maximum 0-10 numerical rating scale (NRS) pain score and incidence of opioid-related adverse events within 24 hours, hospital length of stay, and days alive and out of hospital at 30 days. Results: A total of 47,317 surgeries performed at nine centers were analyzed: 13,010 controls and 34,307 in the intervention group. During the study period, five centers implemented high-dose glucocorticoids for THA patients, two for TKA/UKA patients. High-dose glucocorticoids were administered to 6% of patients before implementation versus 92% after. High-dose glucocorticoids resulted in a mean reduction of 3.8 mg intravenous (IV) morphine equivalents (95% CI 3.3;4.3). The intervention also reduced the maximum 0-24h NRS pain score by 0.8 points (99% CI 0.7;0.9), but there was no difference in adverse events, length of stay, or days alive and out of hospital. Conclusions: Implementation of high-dose glucocorticoids reduced 0-24-hour opioid consumption by 3.8 mg IV morphine equivalents after elective hip and knee arthroplasty. This difference was below the prespecified minimal important difference threshold. Online registration: https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.11.11.25339982

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The dynamics of arterial pressure itself predict intraoperative hypotension beyond its current value: an interpretable additive model validated in 3,069 external patients under a selection-bias-resistant protocol

Oyarzun, R.; Hernandez, P.

2026-08-31 anesthesia 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361468 medRxiv
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Background. Whether predictors of intraoperative hypotension (IOH) add information beyond the mean arterial pressure (MAP) already displayed on the monitor is contested: selection bias in common evaluation designs inflates apparent performance, and the field has called for comparisons against simple MAP-based references under bias-resistant protocols. Existing predictors also depend on proprietary waveform analysis or pulse-contour monitors, restricting both deployment and external validation. Methods. Using 807 non-cardiac surgery patients from the open VitalDB database, we derived an additive gradient boosting model (one split per tree: a learned shape function per variable, no interactions) from three variables computable from an arterial line alone: current MAP, its drift from the patient's own 20-minute baseline, and the growth of its rolling variance (critical slowing down). Evaluation used patient-level 5-fold cross-validation under a strict protocol - exclusion of the 65-75 mmHg grey zone and of all samples already hypotensive at prediction time - with MAP alone (same learner class) as comparator. The frozen model was then validated, without any refitting, on an independent cohort from another continent (MOVER, University of California Irvine) following a pre-registered plan sealed before external data access. Results. In development the pressure-only model reached AUROC 0.907 vs. 0.884 for MAP alone (Delta AUROC +0.023, 95% CI +0.017 to +0.029) at 5 min, with +0.031 and +0.032 at 10 and 15 min, and good calibration (Brier skill +0.418 vs. prevalence). In external validation on 3,069 patients (442,194 samples, 1-minute charting, event prevalence 5.8%), the advantage not only transferred but was larger than in development: AUROC 0.696 vs. 0.638, Delta AUROC +0.058 (95% CI +0.051 to +0.064), meeting both pre-registered gates. Discrimination transferred; calibration did not (external Brier skill -0.014), requiring local recalibration. In the unrestricted scenario, where samples already at threshold are retained, the advantage collapsed (+0.007), reproducing the selection effect this paper documents. A secondary model adding pulse-contour cardiac output and stroke volume variation improved development discrimination further (Delta AUROC +0.035) but could be externally validated in only 39 patients, because those signals are rarely recorded. Conclusions. The dynamics of arterial pressure itself - drift from a patient-specific baseline and variance growth - carry predictive information beyond its current value, in a fully interpretable additive model that requires only an arterial line, no waveform access and no proprietary hardware. The advantage is confirmed in a pre-registered frozen-model external validation of over three thousand patients, and is largest at coarse recording cadence, where instantaneous pressure is least informative.

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Non-Inferiority Margins in Randomized Controlled Trials in Abdominal Surgery- a Systematic Review

Leonhardt, C.; Birrer, D.; Stauffer, M. F.; Toti, J. M. A.; Gallagher, I. J.; Skipworth, R. J. E.; Laird, B.; Kuemmerli, C.

2026-09-02 surgery 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361719 medRxiv
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Importance Non-inferiority trials are becoming increasingly popular in abdominal surgery. The non- inferiority margin is critical in the interpretation and conclusion of these trials. Objective This systematic review aims to assess the methodological and reporting quality of non- inferiority randomized controlled trials in abdominal surgery. Evidence Review Non-inferiority trials were systematically identified by searching Ovid Medline, Embase and the CENTRAL databases from 2006 until December 2025. Randomized controlled trials in adult patients with any type of abdominal surgical intervention in at least one trial arm and a sample size greater than or equal to 100 were eligible for inclusion. The primary outcome was the definition of the non- inferiority margin. Secondary outcomes were the reporting of the non-inferiority margin, the robustness of its estimation, the uncertainty of the point estimate and the adequacy of conclusions. Findings A total of 11 045 trials were identified, of which 101 were eligible, enrolling 44 370 patients. Most trials provided a rationale for the non-inferiority design, while six (5.9%) trials did not. Previous literature was commonly used (n=56; 55.4%), but the non-inferiority margin was most often based on a clinical fixed margin or on historical comparison of the treatment and the active comparator. Based on the margin, investigators tolerated substantially worse outcomes of the treatment compared to the comparator. Conclusions were appropriate based on the confidence interval and the predefined non- inferiority margin in 88 (87.1%) of trials. The clinical judgement of the conclusion was overall adequate. Confidence interval estimations were reported in 16 (15.8%) of trials. Simulation studies were limited by the reporting quality. Conclusions and Relevance Clinical fixed margins are commonly used in abdominal surgery non-inferiority randomized controlled trials, however, substantial shortcomings in reporting limit the interpretability and reproduction of study findings. Based on the findings of this study, guidance on surgical- specific non-inferiority margin definitions is needed.

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Revascularisation versus amputation for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia: a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical outcomes and patient characteristics

Green, J. L.; Davies, H.; Russell, D. A.

2026-08-31 surgery 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361311 medRxiv
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Background: The relative merits of infrainguinal bypass and primary major lower limb amputation (MLLA) for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI) remain uncertain, and the baseline profiles of patients selected for each strategy are poorly described. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were undertaken in accordance with PRISMA 2020 and prospectively registered (PROSPERO: CRD42022356094). MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and CINAHL were searched from inception to March 2025. Prospective studies of adults with CLTI undergoing primary infrainguinal bypass or primary MLLA were eligible. Mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and subsequent amputation outcomes were synthesised using random-effects meta-analysis of proportions. Baseline comorbidity profiles were also extracted. Results: Twenty-seven studies involving 6,576 patients were included: 5,779 underwent infrainguinal bypass and 797 underwent MLLA. After bypass, pooled mortality was 3.7% at 30 days (95% CI 2.8%-4.9%, I2 = 49.4%), 18.5% at 1 year (95% CI 15.6%-21.9%, I2 = 62.3%), and 54.3% at 5 years (95% CI 50.5%-58.0%, I2 = 0%). After MLLA, pooled mortality was 9.2% at 30 days (95% CI 4.1%-19.3%, I2 = 73.5%), 28.5% at 1 year (95% CI 13.3%-51.0, I2 = 70.8%), and 39.9% at 2 years (95% CI 0.3%-99.3, I2 = 90.5%), although longer-term estimates were limited by sparse data and marked heterogeneity. Thirty-day MACE was 6.5% (95% CI 4.3%-9.7, I2 = 63.5%) after bypass and 2.8% after MLLA (95% CI 0.1%-37.6%, I2 = 0%). Early subsequent major amputation after bypass occurred in 3.9% of patients (95% CI 2.0%-7.7%, I2 = 91.2%), rising to 16.2% at 1 year (95% CI 12.6%-20.5%, I2 = 82.0%) and 33.3% at 3 years (95% CI 20.1%-49.8%, I2 = 0%). Early re-amputation after MLLA occurred in 10.9% of patients (95% CI 4.5%-24.4%, I2 = 40.3%). Baseline comorbidity burden was high in both groups, with substantial heterogeneity across studies. Conclusions: CLTI carries a poor prognosis regardless of treatment strategy. Infrainguinal bypass is associated with lower early mortality and better early limb preservation than primary MLLA, but long-term survival remains poor and later limb failure is common. Primary MLLA is not a low-risk alternative. Better contemporary comparative evidence utilising modern causal inference approaches is needed to support individualised decision-making.

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Cost-Outcome Variation in Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support: A National Value-of-Care Analysis

Greendyk, J. D.; Allen, W. E.; Hossain, A.; Trichas, Z.

2026-09-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361851 medRxiv
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Background: Percutaneous mechanical circulatory support (pMCS) is increasingly used in critically ill patients, yet its value in relation to cost and outcomes remains unclear. We evaluated national variation in utilization, outcomes, and cost, and introduced a value of care framework integrating risk-adjusted outcomes and expenditures. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study using the National Inpatient Sample to identify non-elective hospitalizations of critically ill patients undergoing intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) or percutaneous left ventricular assist device (pLVAD) placement using ICD-10 codes. Multivariable logistic regression and generalized linear models were used to estimate expected outcomes and costs. Observed-to-expected (O/E) ratios were calculated, and a value index was derived to compare procedural strategies. Results: A total of 57,910 weighted hospitalizations were included (IABP 78%, pLVAD 22%). In-hospital mortality exceeded 30% across regions. Significant regional variation was observed, with the West demonstrating the highest costs and the Midwest the lowest (p<0.001). Mean hospital charges were higher for pLVAD compared with IABP ($403,731 vs $320,769). Both strategies achieved outcomes better than expected after risk adjustment (O/E 0.92); however, costs were higher than expected for both, with greater relative cost inflation observed for IABP (O/E 1.41) and higher absolute costs for pLVAD. In value-of-care analysis, IABP was associated with lower cost and comparable outcomes, while pLVAD demonstrated higher cost without proportional outcome improvement. Conclusion: Substantial variation exists in the cost, outcomes, and value of pMCS strategies. While both IABP and pLVAD achieve favorable risk-adjusted outcomes, pLVAD is associated with higher costs without commensurate clinical benefit.

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Prognostic Language and Subsequent Code-Status Limitation After Acute Brain Injury: A Multidatabase Observational Study

Gorenshtein, A.; Adiniaev, Y.; Srour, A.; Klang, E.; Daniel, O.

2026-08-31 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361534 medRxiv
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Purpose. Prognostic assessments after acute brain injury are largely narrative, and how prognostic language relates to subsequent care has not been measured at scale. We quantified where it is written and its association with a subsequent code-status limitation. Materials and Methods. Multidatabase observational study of adults with acute brain injury or a related neurologic emergency, using MIMIC-IV (2008-2019; discharge summaries and radiology reports) and a timestamped MIMIC-III cohort (notes and code-status orders). The exposure was documented prognostic language; outcomes were its association with a subsequent full-code-to-limitation transition, note-stream location, and completeness of documented command-following relative to structured Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) motor scores. Results. Among 31,993 admissions (27,054 patients; median age, 69 years; 54.9% male), prognostic language in the timestamped cohort (MIMIC-III) was associated with a subsequent code-status limitation after multivariable adjustment (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.3; 95% CI, 2.9-6.5; unadjusted 14-day cumulative incidence, 40% vs 8.5%), including the comfort-measures component (3.9), a higher-risk subgroup (4.4), and after acute-physiology adjustment (4.1); the association was concentrated in the first 3 days. Non-prognostic severity language showed no comparable association (hazard ratios, 1.1-1.3). Prognostic language localized almost entirely to the narrative (4.9% of discharge summaries vs 0.015% of radiology reports); command-following was undocumented in 55.7% of summaries, and no final-24-hour GCS motor score was charted in 72.8%. Conclusions. Documented prognostic language after acute brain injury was written in the narrative, not structured fields, and was associated with a subsequent code-status limitation after multivariable adjustment. This observational association cannot establish causation but warrants prospective study.

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Burr-Hole Intersection of Middle Meningeal Artery Branches and Recurrence in Chronic Subdural Haematoma: a Multicentre Retrospective Cohort Study

Saba, T. M.; Moudgil-Joshi, J.; Pandit, A. S.; Penn, J.; Mallon, D.; Marcus, H. J.; Grover, P.

2026-08-31 surgery 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361348 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Recurrence following burr-hole drainage of chronic subdural haematoma (cSDH) occurs in 10-25% of cases, sustained by neovascularisation of the subdural neomembrane supplied by the middle meningeal artery (MMA). MMA embolisation reduces recurrence; whether incidental burr-hole intersection of MMA branches during drainage confers similar benefit is unknown. Methods: We performed a multicentre retrospective cohort study of consecutive adults undergoing burr-hole drainage for cSDH at two UK tertiary neurosurgical centres. Postoperative thin-slice CT was used to classify burr-hole intersection of the underlying MMA groove (no hit, distal-branch hit or main-branch hit) and measure perpendicular burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance. Co-primary outcomes were radiological recurrence and recurrence requiring intervention. Patient-clustered multivariable logistic regression adjusted for prespecified clinical covariates and treating site. Results: 227 patients (284 operated hemispheres) were included. Radiological recurrence decreased from 34.4% with no branch hit to 22.9% with main-branch intersection, with the gradient confined predominantly to unilateral cSDH. Main-branch intersection was associated with lower adjusted odds of radiological recurrence in unilateral cSDH (adjusted OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.11- 0.81; P = .018), with a similar but non-significant association in the overall cohort (adjusted OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.26-1.07; P = .075). Burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance demonstrated a more consistent association: in the overall cohort, each 5-mm increase independently increased the odds of radiological recurrence (adjusted OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.04-1.82; P = .025). In unilateral cSDH, each 5-mm increase was independently associated with both radiological recurrence (adjusted OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.03-2.04; P = .034) and recurrence requiring intervention (adjusted OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.05-2.20; P = .027). Conclusion: Main-branch intersection of the middle meningeal artery during routine burr-hole surgery is associated with lower recurrence of unilateral cSDH, while the accompanying burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance gradient provides biologically plausible support for a dose-response relationship. Together, these findings provide mechanistic rationale for prospective evaluation of intentional neuronavigation-guided MMA targeting (BURR-MMA; NCT07549893).

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Pain state-dependent multimodal assessment in non-specific low back pain: a pseudorandomized study design with implementation insights

Chozas Barrientos, B.; Hau, M.; Sirucek, L.; Langenfeld, A.; Wehrli, M.; Wirth, B.; Zoelch, N.; Devan, J.; Dudli, S.; Schweinhardt, P.

2026-08-31 pain medicine 10.64898/2026.08.26.26359760 medRxiv
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Background: Fluctuations in pain intensity are intrinsic to non-specific chronic low back pain (nsCLBP). Nevertheless, pain fluctuations have rarely been considered when investigating pathophysiological mechanisms. Therefore, a novel study protocol was developed and implemented to systematically assess the impact of fluctuating pain states on pain-related measures. Methods: The final study cohort consisted of 45 nsCLBP patients and 47 age- and sex-matched healthy controls (HCs). Patients participated in three visits, conducted during different pain states (i.e. clinically relevant pain, low-intensity clinical pain / pain-free, clinically irrelevant pain induced using a Qutenza 8% capsaicin patch). Pain fluctuations were monitored through online assessments every four days and guided the pseudorandomized visit scheduling. HCs participated in a single visit. Each study visit comprised a multimodal battery of pain-related measures. Results: 93.33% of patients completed all three visit types in a pseudorandomized order (chi-squared=1.50, p=0.826). Visit scheduling was possible due to the high self-report adherence (median=93.48%), unrelated to self-report burden (rho=-0.097, p=0.53). Study visits were conducted during different pain states, as indicated by: i) the significantly higher low back pain intensity in the clinically relevant pain visit (mean[SD]: 3.98[0.90]), compared to the low-intensity clinical pain (1.03[0.86]) and clinically irrelevant pain (1.13[0.82]) visits (p-values<0.001), as well as by ii) the successful induction of a moderate-to-high clinically irrelevant pain across assessments. Conclusion: Despite scheduling complexity and pain state transition uncertainty, a pain state-dependent pseudorandomized study design is feasible and could improve the understanding of nsCLBP mechanisms.

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Bailout cardiac surgery in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement: a comprehensive analysis of post-marketing safety reports

Giordano, S.; Corcione, N.; Morello, A.; Cimmino, M.; Albanese, M.; Ferraro, P.; Vecchione, G.; Amat-Santos, I. J.; Giordano, A.; Biondi-Zoccai, G.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361376 medRxiv
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Background: Bailout cardiac surgery during transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is uncommon but remains associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Although registries have described its incidence and major causes, they often provide limited detail regarding device-related failure mechanisms, attempted transcatheter rescue, and the clinical pathway leading to surgical conversion. We aimed at analyzing post-marketing safety reports from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Manufacturer and User Facility Device Experience (MAUDE) database to characterize the mechanisms, management strategies, and reported outcomes of bailout surgery during or shortly after TAVR. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed FDA MAUDE reports received from July 1, 2016, through June 30, 2026. Eligible reports described unplanned urgent or emergent open cardiac surgery during or immediately after TAVR. Candidate reports were screened, adjudicated, and deduplicated at the clinical-event level. Events were classified by precipitating complication, transcatheter rescue, operative pathway, and reported outcome. Associations were evaluated using permutation tests, Fisher exact tests with Benjamini?Hochberg correction, adjusted regression models, and sensitivity analyses. Results: After screening 43,239 initial reports, we identified 376 bailout-surgery events, with survival status was documented in 254, including 104 deaths and 150 survivors, corresponding to 40.9% reported mortality. Valve embolization, migration, or malposition was the most frequent complication phenotype (32.4%), whereas ventricular perforation or laceration was associated with the highest mortality (74.1%; OR, 4.86; 95% CI, 1.97?11.99). Mortality differed across complication phenotypes (p<0.001) and operative pathways (p<0.001), but not across transcatheter rescue pathways (p=0.355). Valve explantation with SAVR was associated with lower reported mortality (18.9%; OR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.12?0.69), whereas unspecified surgery or access/support alone was associated with higher mortality (56.9%; OR, 3.04; 95% CI, 1.80?5.12). Ancillary analyses identified potential platform-specific differences in complication and management patterns, while bailout timing was not independently associated with mortality after adjustment. Conclusions: In this MAUDE analysis, bailout cardiac surgery after TAVR was most commonly precipitated by valve embolization, migration, or malposition, whereas ventricular perforation or laceration was associated with the highest reported mortality. Outcomes differed across complication and operative pathways but not across transcatheter rescue strategies or bailout timing after adjustment. These findings identify clinically relevant post-marketing safety signals but should not be interpreted as incidence estimates, comparative device risks, or causal treatment effects.

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Investigating adiposity in childhood and adulthood on later life sleep health: a lifecourse Mendelian randomization study

pathak, s.; Richardson, T.; Sanderson, E.; Arora, N.; Strand, L.; Asvold, B. O.; Bhatta, L.; Brumpton, B.

2026-08-31 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361310 medRxiv
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Background: Higher Body Mass Index (BMI) is an established risk factor of sleep disturbance. It is not known if the effect is homogeneous across the lifecourse or if there is a particular time point in life that might be best to target. Methods: Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was used to investigated the effect of childhood adiposity (adjusting on adulthood adiposity and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA)) on insomnia, morning chronotype, sleep duration, daytime sleepiness and daytime napping. Similarly, total, and direct effect of adulthood adiposity on these outcomes was explored. We used summary statistics from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of UK Biobank for childhood and adulthood adiposity (n=453,169) and large-scale consortia of OSA (Million Veteran Program) (n=410,268), insomnia, and chronotype (23andMe) (n=1,978,022 and n=248,1000, respectively). Results: Two-sample univariable MR analysis provided no evidence of an effect of genetically predicted childhood adiposity on later life insomnia (Odds ratio (OR)= 0.94, 95% Confidence interval (CI)= 0.87, 1.03). Whereas, multivariable MR (adjusted for adulthood adiposity) analysis provide strong evidence of direct protective effect of genetically predicted childhood adiposity on later life insomnia (OR= 0.70, CI= 0.64, 0.77). Further, both in univariable and multivariable MR, a strong positive effect of increased childhood body size on morning chronotype was observed (OR= 1.16, CI= 1.01, 1.33 and OR= 1.36, CI= 1.15, 1.62, respectively) after accounting for adulthood body size. In both analysis the estimate did not change considerably after aditionally adjusting for OSA. However, childhood and adulthood adiposity found to be associated with OSA and OSA with insomnia. In both univariable and multivariable analysis, increased body size in adulthood increased the risk of having insomnia and a morning chronotype. Conclusions: The findings suggest that higher body size in childhood is not a risk factor for later life insomnia, whereas higher body size in adulthood was. Further, if healthy body size is maintained in adulthood, high childhood adiposity may decrease the risk of insomnia and increase the risk of being a morning person in later life. Keywords: childhood, adulthood, obesity, insomnia, morning chronotype, medelian randomization

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Soft-Tissue versus Hematologic Primary Malignant Cardiac Tumors: Demographics and First-Course Treatment Patterns in the SEER Registry

Mathew, Z.; Mehta, R.; Kim, S.; Jeyaraj, J.; Asif, T.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361262 medRxiv
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Background: Primary malignant cardiac tumors (PMCTs) are rare and histologically heterogeneous. Objective: To compare demographics, specific ICD-O-3 morphologies, first-course treatment patterns, annual registered case counts, and unadjusted overall survival between soft-tissue and hematologic PMCTs. Methods: We identified 730 PMCT cases diagnosed from 2000 to 2021 in SEER 18 (ICD-O-3 topography C38.0). Histologic lineage was assigned from ICD-O-3 morphology. Comparative analyses included soft-tissue (n=458) and hematologic (n=212) tumors. First-course variables were primary-site surgery, chemotherapy (yes versus no/unknown), and radiotherapy (radiation versus none/unknown). Groups were compared with chi-square tests. Overall survival was estimated with Kaplan-Meier methods; follow-up was truncated at 120 months. Results: Soft-tissue PMCTs occurred predominantly at ages 45-64 years (67.9%), whereas hematologic PMCTs occurred predominantly at age [&ge;]65 years (63.2%; p<0.001). Men comprised 59.9% of hematologic and 49.3% of soft-tissue cases (p=0.014). The leading soft-tissue morphology was hemangiosarcoma/angiosarcoma (ICD-O-3 9120/3; 201/458, 43.9%); synovial sarcoma accounted for 20/458 cases (4.4%). Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, NOS, accounted for 131/212 hematologic tumors (61.8%). Any primary-site surgery was recorded in 66.6% of soft-tissue versus 15.6% of hematologic cases (p<0.001). Chemotherapy was recorded in 67.5% versus 51.1% (p<0.001), and radiotherapy in 9.0% versus 20.5% (p<0.001). In exploratory Kaplan-Meier analyses, hematologic patients with recorded chemotherapy had higher unadjusted 120-month overall survival than those without recorded chemotherapy (42.0% versus 12.2%; log-rank p=7.5x10-). Radiation-associated survival differences were not statistically significant in either lineage. Conclusions: Soft-tissue and hematologic PMCTs have distinct age distributions, named histologies, and first-course treatment patterns in SEER. These findings describe registry coding and do not establish treatment effectiveness or population incidence.

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Spatial Geometry and Prevalence of Tunneling and Undermining in Pressure Ulcers

Frade, S.; Tunyiswa, Z.; Shin, M.; Dirks, R.

2026-09-01 dermatology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361615 medRxiv
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Background: Pressure ulcers often develop complex three-dimensional morphologies that extend beyond the visible wound surface. Subsurface extensions such as tunneling and undermining create hidden cavities that complicate clinical assessment and wound management. Despite their clinical relevance, the prevalence and spatial characteristics of these subsurface wound morphologies have not been well characterized at scale. Methods: We performed a registry-based analysis using data from the LIFT-OFF Pressure Ulcer Registry, which captures longitudinal clinical documentation of pressure ulcers treated in routine care. The registry included approximately 18,000 patients with 32,000 documented pressure ulcers. Spatial characteristics of tunneling and undermining were analyzed using measurements recorded during routine wound assessments, including tract length, direction, and circumferential extent. Directional and circumferential distributions of subsurface defects were examined to characterize wound geometry. Results: Tunneling was present in 764 of 14,700 full-thickness pressure ulcers (5.2%), whereas undermining occurred in 2,293 wounds (15.6%). Tunneling tracts were typically short and exhibited directional clustering relative to the wound bed. In contrast, undermining demonstrated broader circumferential distributions and frequently involved larger subsurface separations beneath the wound margin. Both morphologies demonstrated distinct spatial patterns across anatomical locations and wound stages. Conclusion: Tunneling and undermining are common subsurface features of pressure ulcers and exhibit distinct spatial geometries. Whereas tunneling manifests as directional tract-like extensions, undermining more frequently produces circumferential tissue separation beneath wound margins. Improved characterization of subsurface wound architecture may enhance assessment of wound complexity and provide information not captured by surface measurements alone. Future studies should evaluate whether these features contribute to wound severity assessment, prognosis, and risk stratification.

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Genomic Architecture of Migraine: A Multi ancestry GWAS Meta analysis of 2.5 Million Participants

Overstreet, C.; Galimberti, M.; Harsan, K. T.; Beck, S. E.; Hirsch, J.; Sariya, S.; Ferolito, B. R.; Zhou, Y.; Zhang, Y.; Weinheimer, E. I.; Lacobelle, A.; Nunez, Y.; The VA Million Veteran Program, ; Kranzler, H. R.; Gaziano, J. M.; Stein, M.; Gottschalk, C.; Choi, K. W.; Pereira, A. W.; Deak, J. D.; Pathak, G. A.; Levey, D. F.; Gelernter, J.

2026-08-31 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361638 medRxiv
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Migraine is a leading cause of disability, yet preventive treatment remains largely empirical despite the availability of several mechanistically distinct therapies. Genetic data can clarify mechanisms and therapeutic hypotheses when association signals are integrated with molecular and clinical data. We meta-analyzed migraine GWAS data from 12 European ancestry cohorts (206,893 cases and 2,093,175 controls) and four African ancestry cohorts (22,115 cases and 178,626 controls). We identified 311 lead variants in European-ancestry analyses and 316 lead variants in trans-ancestry analysis. Fine-mapping and transcriptome-wide analyses prioritized variants and genes implicated in sensory neuronal signaling, vascular tone, and immune regulation, with convergent evidence at several established loci including TRPM8 and PHACTR1. Drug-repurposing analyses identified therapeutic targets and compounds, including established migraine treatments and candidates requiring experimental validation. Genetic correlations, Mendelian randomization, and a phenome-wide scan linked migraine liability to psychiatric, pain, and gastrointestinal phenotypes. Together, these findings expand the known genetic architecture of migraine across ancestries and provide a genetics-led map connecting association signals with biological pathways, multimorbidity and candidate therapeutic mechanisms, providing a foundation for future functional and translational studies.

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Dynamic Clinical States and Transitions During the First 72 Hours of Intensive Care After Acute Stroke

LEI, P.; XU, Y.; ZHANG, Y.

2026-09-01 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361738 medRxiv
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Background: The condition of a patient with acute stroke often changes within hours of ICU admission. Prognostic work here targets fixed endpoints predicted from admission data, and trajectory phenotyping assigns one label per patient. We used longitudinal ICU data to identify interpretable dynamic clinical states, characterize transitions between them, and relate the current state to later events. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of 6368 adults with acute stroke in MIMIC IV v3.1. The first 72 h were divided into twelve 6-hour windows, and a hidden Markov model was fitted to 21 neurological, physiological and organ support variables. State number was chosen against criteria fixed before fitting: statistical fit, restart stability, state occupancy and clinical interpretability. Generalized estimating equations related the current state to new mechanical ventilation and vasopressor use within 12 h, and to ICU death within 72 h. Eleven sensitivity analyses assessed the robustness of the state solution. Results: Four states were selected: neurologically preserved-low support, neurological impairment low support, impairment renal dysfunction and impairment-respiratory support (63.3%, 7.8%, 11.8% and 17.1% of windows). Within 72 h, 40.3% of patients changed state at least once, and transitions ran in both directions rather than along a single severity gradient. States were identified without outcome data, yet ICU mortality by last state ranged from 2.9% to 43.9%. Adjusted for age, sex, subtype and Charlson index, the current state remained associated with organ-support escalation and death. State prevalence differed by at most 1.1 percentage points between training and test sets, and 10 of 11 sensitivity analyses gave a stable four-state solution (ARI 0.754 0.955). Conclusions: The early ICU course of acute stroke can be represented as movement among a small number of clinically interpretable states. The representation was reproducible in a held out set and across admission eras, but requires validation in an independent database before any clinical use.

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Gut microbiome-derived metabolic remodeling and the butyrate-IL-18 inflammatory axis after transcatheter aortic valve implantation

Chong-Nguyen, C.; Ferro, C.; Yilmaz, B.; Tomii, D.; Dupuy, C.; Nadal-Desbarats, L.; Nicholson, P.; Pandey, A.; Pilgrim, T.; Doering, Y.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361742 medRxiv
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Background: Severe aortic stenosis is associated with systemic and splanchnic hemodynamic disturbances that may alter gut microbial metabolism and host inflammatory responses. Objectives: We aimed to determine whether TAVI remodels the gut microbiome-derived metabolome and whether post-procedural SCFA dynamics are associated with the inflammatory cytokine response. Methods: We conducted a prospective paired single-center study of patients undergoing elective TAVI at Bern University Hospital. Stool and blood samples were collected before and three months after the procedure. Gut microbial composition was profiled by full-length 16S rRNA sequencing, circulating short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs) by targeted metabolomics, and inflammatory mediators by multiplex cytokine analysis, and integrated with hemodynamic and clinical data. Results: Forty patients were enrolled. Following TAVI, microbial richness declined without significant restructuring of overall community composition. In contrast, circulating SCFA profiles were significantly remodeled, driven by selective reductions in butyrate and isovalerate. A greater decline in circulating butyrate was inversely associated with IL-18 elevation (rho=0.668, p<0.001, n=36), independent of aortic valve calcification burden, hemodynamic improvement, and cardiovascular medications. Baseline isovalerate was nominally associated with 1-month adjudicated adverse events (AUC 0.77; exploratory). Conclusions: TAVI is associated with selective changes in gut microbiome-derived metabolic output rather than broad alterations in microbial community structure. Declining circulating butyrate identifies a gut-metabolite-immune axis linked to IL-18 dynamics and represents a potential biomarker of inflammatory recovery following valve intervention.

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Dose-finding, experimental medicine evaluation of sodium valproate for the prevention of post-cardiac surgery myocardial injury

Roman, M.; Beasley, N.; Ladak, S. S.; Solomon, C. U.; Liao, W.; Lai, F.; Joel-David, L.; Aujla, H.; Condorelli, G.; Wozniak, M. J.; Codd, V.; Webb, T. R.; Brookes, C.; Murphy, G. J.

2026-09-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361746 medRxiv
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Background: A dose finding trial evaluated safety and adherence for pre-cardiac surgery administration of sodium valproate. Integrated multi-omics analyses of myocardium were used to characterise mechanisms underlying the treatment effects. Methods: Adults undergoing cardiac surgery were randomised 1:1:1:1 with concealed allocation to no treatment (Controls), sodium valproate 15mg/kg/day for 1-2 weeks, 15mg/kg/day for 4-6 weeks, or 25mg/kg/day for 4-6 weeks pre-surgery. The primary analysis evaluated adherence and toxicity. Myocardial injury was defined by high sensitivity serum troponin at 24 hours post-surgery. Single-nucleus Assay for Transposase-Accessible Chromatin with sequencing (snATACseq) and single nuclei RNA sequencing (snRNAseq) of myocardial biopsies collected at surgery assessed treatment effects on chromatin accessibility and gene expression. Candidate mechanisms were validated in in vitro. Results: The analysis cohort included 42 participants enrolled between January 2020 and August 2024. Non-compliance (38%) was highest with longer and higher dosing. Sodium valproate 15mg/kg/day for 1-2 weeks had the highest levels of complete treatment adherence (70%), with 20% experiencing moderate/severe drug related adverse effects. An as-treated analyses demonstrated reductions in troponin release in participants receiving Valproate[&le;]14 days. Myocardial biopsies from trial participants demonstrated activation of hormetic p53 and Akt-GSK-3{beta} ferroptosis protection pathways. Treatment effects were not attributable to chromatin accessibility. Treatment >14 days resulted in a heart failure phenotype with suppression of ferroptosis protection pathways, endothelial mesenchymal transition, and increased myocardial injury. Conclusions: Sodium valproate 15mg/kg/day for [&le;]14 days pre-surgery is well tolerated in adults awaiting cardiac surgery. This treatment was associated with upregulation of ferroptosis protection pathways and reductions in myocardial injury.

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Sex Differences in the Impact of Allosensitization on Waitlist Access and Post-Transplant Outcomes in Adults with Congenital Heart Disease

Joseph, A.; Kearney, K.; Henricks, C.; Morgan, J. L.; Tan, W.; Shafer, K.; Wrobel, C.; Lacelle, C.; Burns, K.; Jawaid, A.; Tapaskar, N.; Solmonson, A.; Nelson, D. B.; Truby, L. K.

2026-09-02 transplantation 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361832 medRxiv
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Background: Adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) patients are prone to HLA-antibody formation from multiple surgeries, transfusions, and prosthetic surgical material. Females with ACHD may accrue additional, non-surgical alloantigen exposure. Whether sex modifies the impact of allosensitization on heart transplant (HT) access and outcomes in ACHD remains unknown. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the OPTN/UNOS registry of adults with ACHD listed for first-time HT (2018-2025). Sensitization was defined by calculated panel reactive antibodies (cPRA) at listing. We tested the sex x sensitization (highly sensitized, cPRA >50%) interaction on transplant access using Fine-Gray competing-risks regression, treating transplantation as the event of interest and death or removal from the waitlist as competing events, and on post-transplant survival using multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression, both adjusted for age at listing, mechanical support at listing, and the number of distinct prior cardiac surgery categories. Results: Among 856 candidates (38% female), females were more often highly sensitized than males (23% vs 14%; age-adjusted OR 1.81, 95% CI 1.26-2.61), even after adjusting for surgical burden. Sensitization reduced transplant access in females (84% to 71%; median wait 60 to 110 days, p < 0.001) but not males (79% vs 79%, median wait 88 vs 98 days). In adjusted Fine-Gray models, the subdistribution hazard for transplant was reduced in sensitized females (sHR 0.54, 95% CI 0.41-0.72) with no effect in males (sHR 0.96, 95% CI 0.73-1.26), and the sex x sensitization interaction was significant (interaction sHR 0.64, 95% CI 0.44-0.94, p = 0.02). Post-transplant mortality was numerically higher in sensitized than non-sensitized candidates in both sexes and the sex x sensitization interaction on 1-year mortality was not significant. The sex-asymmetric effect persisted and was more pronounced in the multiorgan candidates. Conclusions: Allosensitization is not a sex-neutral barrier to transplant in HT candidates with ACHD. Females are more sensitized and have reduced transplant access without differences in 1-year mortality. The female excess in sensitization is not accounted for by surgical burden, and the exposures responsible remain to be defined. These findings warrant a sex-aware listing strategy and further studies.

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Both ageing and frailty status impact vaccine-induced transcriptomic profiles and subsequent humoral immunity: results from the VITAL cohort

Joshi, M.; Carre, C.; Cevirgel, A.; Bijvank, E.; Chabaud-Riou, M.; Courtois, V.; Chautard, E.; Larocque, D.; Burny, W.; Beckers, L.; Buisman, A.-M.; Rots, N.; van der Heiden, M.; van Beek, J.; van Sleen, Y.; van Baarle, D.

2026-08-31 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361408 medRxiv
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Vaccine responses vary across individuals due to differences in ageing and health status. Using transcriptomic profiling, we analyzed early gene expression profiles after influenza (QIV) followed by pneumococcal (PCV13) vaccination in 148 participants spanning young, middle-aged, and older adults. The two vaccines induced distinct immune signatures: QIV elicited innate and interferon immune activation, while PCV13 triggered inflammation-based responses. Older adults showed weaker but similar transcriptomic profiles compared to young adults. Among older adults, frailty, in addition to age, was strongly associated with reduced innate responses. In addition, we identified associations between early-stage transcriptomic profiles and later-stage antibody responses for QIV; however, no such associations were observed for PCV13. Importantly, observed group differences arose not from altered immune modules but from differences in the magnitude of gene expression, paving the way for immune-boosting interventions to enhance early gene expression in at-risk populations.